How PredictGrails Works

Trade on what you think will happen in the world of collectibles. Buy shares, make predictions, and win if you're right.

1

What is PredictGrails?

Prediction Market

A play-money market where you trade on outcomes of real-world events in the collectibles space.

Trade Your Opinion

Buy shares if you think something will happen. The more confident you are, the more you can profit.

Win If Right

When the market resolves, winning shares pay $1.00 each. Losing shares are worth $0.

2

How Trading Works

Yesshares

Buy Yes if you think something WILL happen.

Example: "This card WILL sell for over $1M"

Noshares

Buy No if you think something WON'T happen.

Example: "This card will NOT sell for over $1M"

Price = Probability

Share prices range from1¢ to 99¢
A 70¢ share price means70% probability
If you're right, each share pays$1.00
3

Example Trade

Market Question
"Will this 1952 Topps Mickey Mantle sell for over $10M?"
Current Market
Yes price:60¢
No price:40¢
Your Trade
You spend:$100
You get:~166 Yes shares
If Yes Wins

Your 166 shares pay $166

Profit: +$66 (+66%)

If No Wins

Your shares are worth $0

Loss: -$100

4

Why Prices Move

More Buyers = Price Goes Up

When more people buy Yes shares, the Yes price increases. This reflects growing confidence that the outcome will happen.

More Sellers = Price Goes Down

When people sell their shares, the price decreases. This often happens when confidence drops or people take profits.

Crowd Wisdom

Market prices aggregate everyone's opinions into a single probability. The "wisdom of the crowd" often produces surprisingly accurate predictions.

5

It's Play Money!

$0
Real money at risk
$10K
Starting play money
100%
Fun & bragging rights

PredictGrails uses play money only. There's no real financial risk involved. It's all about testing your knowledge of the collectibles market!

Ready to Start Trading?

Put your collectibles knowledge to the test. Make predictions and see how you stack up!